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2008-08-28 US Economic Releases

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 28th August 2008


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GDP QoQ Annualized (2Q P)

Survey 2.7%
Actual 3.3%
Prior 1.9% (2Q P); 0.9% (Q1)
Revised n/a

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GDP YoY Annualized (2Q P)

Survey n/a
Actual 2.2%
Prior 2.5%
Revised n/a

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GDP Price Index (2Q P)

Survey 1.1%
Actual 1.2%
Prior 1.1%
Revised n/a

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GDP ALLX (2Q P)

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Personal Consumption (2Q P)

Survey 1.6%
Actual 1.7%
Prior 1.5% (2QP); 0.9% (Q1)
Revised n/a

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Core PCE QoQ (2Q P)

Survey 2.1%
Actual 2.1%
Prior 2.1% (2Q P); 2.3% (Q1)
Revised n/a

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Personal Consumption ALLX 1 (2Q P)

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Personal Consumption ALLX 2 (2Q P)

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Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 23)

Survey 425K
Actual 425K
Prior 432K
Revised 435K

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Continuing Jobless Claims (Aug 16)

Survey 3390K
Actual 3423K
Prior 3362K
Revised 3359K

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Jobless Claims ALLX (Aug 22)


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2008-08-27 US Economic Releases

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 27th August 2008


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Economy strong enough to use up excess Saudi oil capacity.

MBA Mortgage Applications (Aug 22)

Survey n/a
Actual 0.5%
Prior -1.5%
Revised n/a

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MBA Purchasing Applications (Aug 22)

Survey n/a
Actual 315.9
Prior 314.0
Revised n/a

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MBA Refinancing Applications (Aug 22)

Survey n/a
Actual 1038.0
Prior 1034.5
Revised n/a

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MBA TABLE 1 (Aug 22)

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MBA TABLE 2 (Aug 22)

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MBA TABLE 3 (Aug 22)

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MBA TABLE 4 (Aug 22)

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Durable Goods Orders MoM (Jul)

Survey 0.0%
Actual 1.3%
Prior 0.8%
Revised 1.3%

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Durable Goods Orders YoY (Jul)

Survey n/a
Actual -2.4%
Prior -1.3%
Revised n/a

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Durables Ex Transportation MoM (Jul)

Survey -0.7%
Actual 0.7%
Prior 2.0%
Revised 2.4%

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Durables ex Defense MoM (Jul)

Survey n/a
Actual 2.8%
Prior 0.6%
Revised n/a

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Durable Goods ALLX (Jul)


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2008-08-26 US Economic Releases

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 26th August 2008


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ICSC-UBS Store Sales WoW (Aug 26)

Survey n/a
Actual 0.2%
Prior 0.1%
Revised n/a

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ICSC-UBS Store Sales YoY (Aug 26)

Survey n/a
Actual 2.3%
Prior 2.4%
Revised n/a

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Redbook Store Sales Weekly YoY (Aug 26)

Survey n/a
Actual 1.9%
Prior 1.3%
Revised n/a

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ICSC-UBS Redbook Comparison TABLE (Aug 26)

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Consumer Confidence (Aug)

Survey 53.0
Actual 56.9
Prior 51.9
Revised n/a

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Consumer Confidence ALLX 1 (Aug)

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Consumer Confidence ALLX 2 (Aug)

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S&P-CaseShiller Home Price Index (Jun)

Survey 167.20
Actual 167.69
Prior 168.54
Revised n/a

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S&P-CS Composite-20 YoY (Jun)

Survey -16.20%
Actual -15.92%
Prior -15.78%
Revised -15.78%

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S&P-CaseShiller US HPI (2Q)

Survey n/a
Actual 155.32
Prior 159.20
Revised 159.03

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S&P-CaseShiller US HPI YoY (2Q)

Survey -16.2%
Actual -15.4%
Prior -14.1%
Revised -14.2%

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S&P-CaseShiller US HPI QoQ (2Q)

Survey n/a
Actual -2.33%
Prior -6.75%
Revised n/a

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House Price Index MoM (Jun)

Survey -0.4%
Actual 0.0%
Prior -0.3%
Revised -0.4%

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House Price Index YoY (Jun)

Survey n/a
Actual -4.8%
Prior -4.8%
Revised n/a

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House Price Purchase Index QoQ (2Q)

Survey -1.5%
Actual -1.4%
Prior -1.7%
Revised -1.7%

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House Price Purchase Index YoY (Jun)

Survey n/a
Actual -1.71%
Prior -0.06%
Revised n/a

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House Price Purchase Index Loans by Type TABLE (2Q)

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House Price Purchase Index ALLX (2Q)

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House Price Index TABLE (Jun)

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HPI ALLX 1 (Jun)

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HPI ALLX 2 (Jun)

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New Home Sales (Jul)

Survey 525K
Actual 515K
Prior 530K
Revised 503K

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New Home Sales MoM (Jul)

Survey -0.9%
Actual 2.4%
Prior -0.6%
Revised -2.1%

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New Home Sales Total YoY (Jul)

Survey n/a
Actual -35.3%
Prior -36.6%
Revised n/a

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New Home Sales ALLX (Jul)

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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)

Survey -10
Actual -16
Prior -16
Revised n/a

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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index ALLX (Aug)

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ABC Consumer Confidence (Aug 24)

Survey -
Actual -
Prior -49
Revised -

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ABC Consumer Confidence ALLX (Aug 24)


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2008-08-25 US Economic Releases

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 25th August 2008


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Existing Home Sales (Jul)

Survey 4.91M
Actual 5.00M
Prior 4.86M
Revised 4.85M

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Existing Home Sales MoM (Jul)

Survey 1.0%
Actual 3.1%
Prior -2.6%
Revised -2.8%

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Existing Home Sales YoY (Jul)

Survey n/a
Actual -13.2%
Prior -15.7%
Revised n/a

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Existing Home Sales Inventory (Jul)

Survey n/a
Actual 4.669M
Prior 4.495M
Revised n/a

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Existing Home Sales ALLX 1 (Jul)

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Existing Home Sales ALLX 2 (Jul)


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2008-08-21 US Economic Releases

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 21st August 2008


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Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 16)

Survey 440K
Actual 432K
Prior 450K
Revised 445K

Still high, even though lower than expected and last week revised down some. It will take a while before the effect of the new extended benefit program is altering the numbers.

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Continuing Jobless Claims (Aug 9)

Survey 3405K
Actual 3362K
Prior 3417K
Revised 3379K

Also lower than expected and last week revised down, But still high and not showing any meaningful signs of a top.

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Jobless Claims TABLE 1 (Aug 16)

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Jobless Claims TABLE 2 (Aug 16)

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Philadelphia Fed (Aug)

Survey -12.6
Actual -12.7
Prior -16.3
Revised n/a

Still negative, but the rate of contraction seems to be declining.

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Philadelphia Fed TABLE 1 (Aug)

Prices paid down some, but still way high.

Employment improved to near flat.

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